Best Picture:
The Artist
The Descendants
Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
The Help
Hugo
Midnight in ParisMoneyball
The Tree of Life
War Horse
The Artist and The Descendants were said to be frontrunners, right? But with The Descendants receiving merely five nominations (though those are the said to be the most determining categories for BP), it is not looking good for this modern-day drama set in Hawaii. The Artist's nods double that, and with all the awards it has won before the nominations it is quite a safe bet to pick.
However, I'm not losing anything if I guess wrong so I'd go with the dangerous choice here. Hugo takes home Best Picture, not because it is my personal favorite, but because of the wide support and love for Martin Scorsese as a legendary director and for his truly amazing usage of 3D that has re-defined the term "visual effects" in his family film. So however slight the chance may be, I'm putting Hugo on top of The Artist here, and I'm predicting it to be the first 3D film to win Best Picture.
Best Leading Actor:
Demián Bichir for A Better Life
George Clooney for The Descendants
Jean Dujardin for The Artist
Gary Oldman for Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Brad Pitt for Moneyball
Bichir and Oldman are the two odd ones out in this category. Their surprising nods are surprising enough, and we can probably agree on the fact that these two can be taken out of consideration when it comes down to who actually has a shot of winning. They are less mentioned, and more importantly, their performances are not from BP nominees.
Clooney and Dujardin are the frontrunners that surface here, and after them it has to be Pitt, but how far behind is Pitt? No one knows. No matter The Artist wins BP or not, I still pick Clooney to receive the honor in this group of competitors.
Best Leading Actress:
Bichir and Oldman are the two odd ones out in this category. Their surprising nods are surprising enough, and we can probably agree on the fact that these two can be taken out of consideration when it comes down to who actually has a shot of winning. They are less mentioned, and more importantly, their performances are not from BP nominees.
Clooney and Dujardin are the frontrunners that surface here, and after them it has to be Pitt, but how far behind is Pitt? No one knows. No matter The Artist wins BP or not, I still pick Clooney to receive the honor in this group of competitors.
Best Leading Actress:
Glenn Close for Albert Nobbs
Viola Davis for The Help
Rooney Mara for The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Meryl Streep for The Iron Lady
Michelle Williams for My Week with Marilyn
I do not think Meryl Streep will win on account of two reasons. First, The Iron Lady as a movie does not favor many. Second, it has been the habit of the Academy since Streep's last win to keep nominating her but not letting her win. The Iron Lady does not appear to provide a turning point here for the voters.
If Streep is out, Viola Davis has the biggest chance of all. The Help is a crowd-pleaser as well as the greatest box-office hit among the BP nominees, plus its acting is what makes the movie so strong and Viola Davis has certainly contributed a lot to this strength.
Michelle Williams and Glenn Close should not be far behind in this race while Rooney Mara probably won't win.
Best Supporting Actor:I do not think Meryl Streep will win on account of two reasons. First, The Iron Lady as a movie does not favor many. Second, it has been the habit of the Academy since Streep's last win to keep nominating her but not letting her win. The Iron Lady does not appear to provide a turning point here for the voters.
If Streep is out, Viola Davis has the biggest chance of all. The Help is a crowd-pleaser as well as the greatest box-office hit among the BP nominees, plus its acting is what makes the movie so strong and Viola Davis has certainly contributed a lot to this strength.
Michelle Williams and Glenn Close should not be far behind in this race while Rooney Mara probably won't win.
Kenneth Branagh for My Week with Marilyn
Jonah Hill for Moneyball
Nick Nolte for Warrior
Christopher Plummer for Beginners
Max von Sydow for Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close
It's been Plummer since the very beginning. It has to be him. Enough said.
Best Supporting Actress:
Bérénice Bejo for The Artist
My picks are Spencer and Chastain, but Spencer has a stronger boost from the awards she has already won for her performance. If the Academy gets too crazy about The Artist, Bejo may have a shot here.
Best Director:
Since this usually holds hands with Best Picture, I'm picking Scorsese because I've picked Hugo. But even if The Artist wins BP, Scorsese may still have a shot. This looks like one of those years when there is possibility for a mismatch between BP and Best Director.
Though Allen may not even bother to show up, this award is going to be his. I would say Bridesmaids and Margin Call have no chance at all. To be honest, I would nominate 50/50 an Win Win instead of these two, but obviously the Academy disagrees with most.
Best Adapted Screenplay:
I think it's 3-way match between The Descendants, Hugo and Moneyball. Of these three, I think the Academy will award Moneyball for this, and it will probably be the only win out of the 6 nods Moneyball scored.
Best Animated Feature:
This has to be the hardest-to-predict category in this year's Oscar. If Tintin's not here, can you think of anyone that can even come close to Rango? I don't think so.
But brace yourself. Expect the unexpected. If the Academy can make this category's nods so shocking, they may as well do the same when it comes to announcing the winner.
Best Foreign Language Film:
The simple fact that A Separation nailed a nomination for Original Screenplay proves only one thing - it is going to win this category.
Best Cinematography:
Except for The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo, anyone that wins here won't surprise me much, but I'm personally going for The Tree of Life, and it is probably the only potential win that the movie has in store.
Best Editing:
Hugo is my BP pick, and since this is most of the time associated with BP, I'd pick Hugo here too. I think only The Artist, The Descendants and Hugo can win here, and whichever wins it will probably also take BP.
Best Art Direction:
The Academy may finally decide to award the Harry Potter series its first and probably the only Oscar here, but I still think Hugo is the most-deserving candidate in this category and will most likely win.
Best Costume Design:
It's a hard to predict this category, but if the Academy decides to award BP nominees, it will be a stiff competition between Hugo and The Artist.
Best Makeup:
Albert Nobbs : Martial Corneville, Lynn Johnson, Matthew W. Mungle
Again, it may be the first and only Oscar the Potter series will get. The Academy may as well decide to let the wish of many come true in this less crowded category.
Best Original Score:
The Artist is great at this, but the score in Hugo by Howard Score is simply beautiful.
Best Original Song:
I still can't stop thinking about the fact that there are only two nominees. While I'm still whining about the missing Living Proof, it is going to be Man or Muppet.
Best Sound Mixing:
OVERALL PREDICTION
- Hugo - 9 wins
- The Help - 2 wins
- Beginners - 1 win
- The Descendants - 1 win
- Midnight in Paris - 1 win
- Moneyball - 1 win
- Rango - 1 win
- A Separation - 1 win
- The Tree of Life - 1 win
- Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 - 1 win
- The Muppets - 1 win
What have I done? I've just predicted The Artist to be last year's True Grit (10 nods and no win). How silly of me. Well, I'm going to stick to my predictions. If Hugo wins fewer, the ones that it doesn't win probably will go to The Artist. The same happens to the ones that The Artist doesn't win. I'm just expecting a scenario that the awards are all headed for one direction, but believe me, it is a possible scenario.
Now all I have to do is just sit back and wait for the Feb 26.
It's been Plummer since the very beginning. It has to be him. Enough said.
Best Supporting Actress:
Bérénice Bejo for The Artist
Jessica Chastain for The Help
Melissa McCarthy for Bridesmaids
Janet McTeer for Albert Nobbs
Octavia Spencer for The Help
My picks are Spencer and Chastain, but Spencer has a stronger boost from the awards she has already won for her performance. If the Academy gets too crazy about The Artist, Bejo may have a shot here.
Best Director:
Woody Allen for Midnight in Paris
Michel Hazanavicius for The Artist
Terrence Malick for The Tree of Life
Alexander Payne for The Descendants
Martin Scorsese for Hugo
Since this usually holds hands with Best Picture, I'm picking Scorsese because I've picked Hugo. But even if The Artist wins BP, Scorsese may still have a shot. This looks like one of those years when there is possibility for a mismatch between BP and Best Director.
Best Original Screenplay:
The Artist : Michel Hazanavicius
The Artist : Michel Hazanavicius
Bridesmaids : Kristen Wiig, Annie Mumolo
Margin Call : J.C. Chandor
Midnight in Paris : Woody Allen
A Separation : Asghar Farhadi
Though Allen may not even bother to show up, this award is going to be his. I would say Bridesmaids and Margin Call have no chance at all. To be honest, I would nominate 50/50 an Win Win instead of these two, but obviously the Academy disagrees with most.
Best Adapted Screenplay:
The Descendants : Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon, Jim Rash
Hugo : John Logan
The Ides of March : George Clooney, Grant Heslov, Beau Willimon
Moneyball : Steven Zaillian, Aaron Sorkin, Stan Chervin
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy : Bridget O'Connor, Peter Straughan
I think it's 3-way match between The Descendants, Hugo and Moneyball. Of these three, I think the Academy will award Moneyball for this, and it will probably be the only win out of the 6 nods Moneyball scored.
Best Animated Feature:
A Cat in Paris : Alain Gagnol, Jean-Loup Felicioli
Chico & Rita : Fernando Trueba, Javier Mariscal
Kung Fu Panda 2 : Jennifer Yuh
Puss in Boots : Chris Miller
Rango : Gore Verbinski
This has to be the hardest-to-predict category in this year's Oscar. If Tintin's not here, can you think of anyone that can even come close to Rango? I don't think so.
But brace yourself. Expect the unexpected. If the Academy can make this category's nods so shocking, they may as well do the same when it comes to announcing the winner.
Best Foreign Language Film:
Bullhead : Michael R. Roskam(Belgium)
Footnote : Joseph Cedar(Israel)
In Darkness : Agnieszka Holland(Poland)
Monsieur Lazhar : Philippe Falardeau(Canada)
A Separation : Asghar Farhadi(Iran)
The simple fact that A Separation nailed a nomination for Original Screenplay proves only one thing - it is going to win this category.
Best Cinematography:
The Artist : Guillaume Schiffman
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo : Jeff Cronenweth
Hugo : Robert Richardson
The Tree of Life : Emmanuel Lubezki
War Horse : Janusz Kaminski
Except for The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo, anyone that wins here won't surprise me much, but I'm personally going for The Tree of Life, and it is probably the only potential win that the movie has in store.
Best Editing:
The Artist : Anne-Sophie Bion, Michel Hazanavicius
The Descendants : Kevin Tent
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo : Angus Wall, Kirk Baxter
Hugo : Thelma Schoonmaker
Moneyball : Christopher Tellefsen
Hugo is my BP pick, and since this is most of the time associated with BP, I'd pick Hugo here too. I think only The Artist, The Descendants and Hugo can win here, and whichever wins it will probably also take BP.
Best Art Direction:
The Artist : Laurence Bennett, Robert Gould
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2 : Stuart Craig, Stephenie McMillan
Hugo (2011/II): Dante Ferretti, Francesca Lo Schiavo
Midnight in Paris : Anne Seibel, Hélène Dubreuil
War Horse : Rick Carter, Lee Sandales
The Academy may finally decide to award the Harry Potter series its first and probably the only Oscar here, but I still think Hugo is the most-deserving candidate in this category and will most likely win.
Best Costume Design:
Anonymous : Lisy Christl
The Artist : Mark Bridges
Hugo : Sandy Powell
Jane Eyre : Michael O'Connor
W.E. : Arianne Phillips
It's a hard to predict this category, but if the Academy decides to award BP nominees, it will be a stiff competition between Hugo and The Artist.
Best Makeup:
Albert Nobbs : Martial Corneville, Lynn Johnson, Matthew W. Mungle
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2 : Nick Dudman, Amanda Knight, Lisa Tomblin
The Iron Lady : Mark Coulier, J. Roy Helland
Again, it may be the first and only Oscar the Potter series will get. The Academy may as well decide to let the wish of many come true in this less crowded category.
Best Original Score:
The Adventures of Tintin : John Williams
The Artist : Ludovic Bource
Hugo : Howard Shore
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy : Alberto Iglesias
War Horse : John Williams
The Artist is great at this, but the score in Hugo by Howard Score is simply beautiful.
Best Original Song:
The Muppets : Bret McKenzie("Man or Muppet")
Rio : Sergio Mendes, Carlinhos Brown, Siedah Garrett("Real in Rio")
I still can't stop thinking about the fact that there are only two nominees. While I'm still whining about the missing Living Proof, it is going to be Man or Muppet.
Best Sound Mixing:
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo : David Parker, Michael Semanick, Ren Klyce, Bo Persson
Hugo : Tom Fleischman, John Midgley
Moneyball : Deb Adair, Ron Bochar, David Giammarco, Ed Novick
Transformers: Dark of the Moon : Greg P. Russell, Gary Summers, Jeffrey J. Haboush, Peter J. Devlin
War Horse : Gary Rydstrom, Andy Nelson, Tom Johnson, Stuart Wilson
Best Sound Editing:
What can I say? Hugo is masterful on the technical aspects. It is a film so well-crafted down to every little detail.
Best Visual Effects:
How often does a BP win Visual Effects? Well, not often, but this may be the year for such a thing to happen. I would say Rise of the Planet of the Apes equally deserves this award, and I wouldn't be surprised if it turns out to be Potter.Best Sound Editing:
Drive : Lon Bender, Victor Ray Ennis
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo : Ren Klyce
Hugo : Philip Stockton, Eugene Gearty
Transformers: Dark of the Moon : Ethan Van der Ryn, Erik Aadahl
War Horse : Richard Hymns, Gary Rydstrom
What can I say? Hugo is masterful on the technical aspects. It is a film so well-crafted down to every little detail.
Best Visual Effects:
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2 : Tim Burke, David Vickery, Greg Butler, John Richardson
Hugo : Robert Legato, Joss Williams, Ben Grossmann, Alex Henning
Real Steel : Erik Nash, John Rosengrant, Danny Gordon Taylor, Swen Gillberg
Rise of the Planet of the Apes : Joe Letteri, Dan Lemmon, R. Christopher White, Daniel Barrett
Transformers: Dark of the Moon : Scott Farrar, Scott Benza, Matthew E. Butler, John Frazier
OVERALL PREDICTION
- Hugo - 9 wins
- The Help - 2 wins
- Beginners - 1 win
- The Descendants - 1 win
- Midnight in Paris - 1 win
- Moneyball - 1 win
- Rango - 1 win
- A Separation - 1 win
- The Tree of Life - 1 win
- Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 - 1 win
- The Muppets - 1 win
What have I done? I've just predicted The Artist to be last year's True Grit (10 nods and no win). How silly of me. Well, I'm going to stick to my predictions. If Hugo wins fewer, the ones that it doesn't win probably will go to The Artist. The same happens to the ones that The Artist doesn't win. I'm just expecting a scenario that the awards are all headed for one direction, but believe me, it is a possible scenario.
Now all I have to do is just sit back and wait for the Feb 26.
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